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Home » Ukraine Blocks Polymarket Citing Unlicensed Gambling and War-Related Betting Markets

Ukraine Blocks Polymarket Citing Unlicensed Gambling and War-Related Betting Markets

Ukraine's National Commission for State Regulation of Electronic Communications has ordered internet service providers to block access to prediction market platform Polymarket, classifying the service as unlicensed gambling under national law.

Martin Nevis by Martin Nevis
January 13, 2026
in Regulatory Compliance
Reading Time: 2 mins read
Ukraine Blocks Polymarket Citing Unlicensed Gambling and War-Related Betting Markets

The regulatory body issued Resolution No. 695 directing providers to restrict access to the platform, with the polymarket.com domain now listed in Ukraine’s public registry of blocked websites. However, enforcement has reportedly been inconsistent, with some users in the country still able to access the service.

War-Related Markets Trigger Regulatory Action

The blocking order comes amid growing controversy over Polymarket’s Ukraine-related prediction markets. The platform processed approximately 240 bets tied to the ongoing conflict in December 2025, with total volume exceeding $270 million. An additional 120 active markets related to the Russian invasion carried more than $140 million in open interest.

Ukrainian authorities specifically criticized the platform for hosting markets on territorial occupation, including bets on when specific cities might fall to Russian forces. The platform allegedly used the API from DeepState, a Ukrainian open-source intelligence project, without authorization to create real-time betting markets on front-line military developments.

Growing International Scrutiny

Ukraine now joins at least 33 other jurisdictions that have restricted access to Polymarket, including France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Poland, Singapore, Thailand, and Romania. Most countries cite concerns about unlicensed gambling operations, despite Polymarket’s classification as a peer-to-peer prediction market rather than a traditional gambling platform.

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Regulatory pressure on the platform has intensified in recent weeks. U.S. Representative Ritchie Torres introduced legislation last week that would prohibit federal officials from trading prediction market contracts when they possess nonpublic information. The Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 follows scrutiny over a $400,000 profitable bet on Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro’s capture placed hours before U.S. military action.

Tennessee regulators issued orders on January 9 requiring Polymarket, Kalshi, and Crypto.com to cease sports betting contracts and issue refunds by January 31, citing unlicensed sports wagering violations.

Platform Background

Founded in 2020, Polymarket operates as a blockchain-based prediction market platform using USDC stablecoin on the Polygon network. The company carries an estimated valuation of $8 billion and has positioned itself as a decentralized alternative to traditional betting and forecasting services.

The platform’s model allows users to trade on the outcomes of future events, with market prices theoretically reflecting the collective probability assessments of participants. However, regulators in multiple jurisdictions have determined that this structure constitutes gambling under their respective legal frameworks.

Source: Yogonet

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Martin Nevis

Martin Nevis

Martin Nevis brings over 10 years of specialized experience covering payment solutions, fintech innovations, and the complex world of gambling transactions across international markets. Martin's extensive background in financial technology, cryptocurrency integration, and payment processing has made him an essential voice on the technical and regulatory challenges facing iGaming payment providers. His expertise encompasses traditional payment methods, e-wallets, cryptocurrency transactions, instant banking solutions, and the emerging technologies reshaping how operators and players move money across borders while maintaining compliance with AML and KYC requirements His analysis covers everything from payment method optimization and conversion rate impacts to the regulatory implications of open banking, cryptocurrency volatility, and cross-border transaction challenges.

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